KBGM METAR

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BGM AFD

.AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions across all terminals through the morning hours.

An approaching low pressure system will bring rain to the region
starting late this morning, moving west to east, covering the
all terminals by mid afternoon. MVFR conditions are expected at
the onset of precipitation, with the main forecast challenge
being which terminals fall into IFR conditions later in the
afternoon and evening. Plenty of rain and moisture are expected
across the area from the incoming system, and SE flow into the
evening hours will reinforce this with moisture coming in off
the Atlantic. SE flow also means downsloping at AVP, ELM, ITH,
SYR and RME so the big question is does the downsloping win out
over the showers and moisture in place.

Current thinking is AVP should see IFR conditions later this
evening, as even though there will be downsloping off the
Poconos, cooling temperatures and abundant moisture should get
ceilings to IFR. ELM and ITH are expected to be MVFR through the
evening, falling to IFR ceilings later this evening and
overnight as temps cool enough to drop ceiling heights.

A SE wind at BGM brings upslope flow to the terminal, which
should drop conditions to IFR by late afternoon.

SYR and RME are expected to see MVFR conditions by mid
afternoon thanks the the downsloping flow and warmer temps
allowing ceilings to take hold above IFR levels through most of
the afternoon. There is a signal for IFR ceilings during the
overnight hours, but confidence is not high enough to include it
in this set of TAFs.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night through Friday: Chance of showers each day with
restrictions possible.

Saturday into Sunday...NW flow with some MVFR cigs possible.

Nearby AWOS/ASOS

KBGM: Binghamton 607-729-8335 128.15
KCZG: Tri-Cities 607-785-2926 119.075
N23: Sidney 607-561-2333 118.275
KOIC: Norwich 607-336-8583 119.025
N03: Cortland 607-753-9784 132.225
KAVP: Scranton 570-655-0748 111.6 (VOR)

KBGM TAF

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KELM METAR

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KITH METAR

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KAVP METAR

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KSYR METAR

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