BGM AFD
.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms may bring brief restrictions
this afternoon, mainly prior to 21z. With AVP being farther
south than the Central NY terminals, showers/storms linger into
the early evening there. Otherwise, by 00z, all terminals will
be VFR through at least 18z Monday. There is slight concern for
fog at ELM early Monday morning given the added moisture from
showers today and clearing skies, but winds may be too strong.
Model guidance is not showing any fog anywhere in the region, so
confidence was too low to include fog at this time. Winds
become northwesterly this afternoon after a front moves through.
Gusts around 15 kts are expected but may be higher with a
passing shower/storm. Winds calm some overnight before gusts
return after 12z Sunday.
Outlook...
Monday through Wednesday..Mainly VFR.
Thursday...Mainly VFR; Low chance (40% or less) for showers and
thunderstorms over Central NY terminals overnight with
associated restrictions.
Friday...Showers and thunderstorms (40-60% chance) with
associated restrictions.