BGM AFD

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Lake-effect snow showers have finally pushed north of RME.
However, forecast soundings show MVFR CIGs lingering at RME
through the late morning. Elsewhere, VFR is expected today
with mid- and high-level clouds streaming into the area. Winds
vary between NW and SW early this morning but speeds continue to
decrease (generally under 7 kt) as the pressure gradient
relaxes. Winds back more out of the S this afternoon with
speeds below 10 kt.

Mainly VFR tonight with a strengthening southerly return flow.
Winds at the surface look to increase to 8-13 kt this evening
with occasional gusts near 20 kt favored at our NY terminals.
Forecast soundings show a strengthening SW low-level jet to near
50 kt at 2 kft AGL for our western-most terminals (SYR, ITH, and
ELM). LLWS was added with the 12Z TAFs for these western
terminals.

Outlook...
Friday...Low clouds with CIGs borderline IFR-MVFR criteria may
try to sneak into our S/E terminals (AVP-BGM-ELM) just before
sunrise Friday morning. These low clouds may expand farther N/W
throughout the day with rain moving in late.

Friday night and Saturday...Flight restrictions expected in
periods of rain.

Saturday evening through Sunday...Continued flight restrictions
into Saturday night. Rain may changeover to snow from W-E before
it ends Saturday night. Gradual improvement in CIGs expected on
Sunday as the steady snow ends. However, lake-effect snow
showers will result in more localized restrictions, especially
for NY terminals. NW winds will be breezy.

Monday...VFR.

Nearby AWOS/ASOS